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Can AI predict someone's breakup? - Thomas Hofweber

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TEDEd Animation

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A couple has been considering getting engaged, but they’re worried about divorce statistics. An AI-based model was just released that can predict your likelihood of divorce with 95% accuracy. The only catch is the model doesn’t offer any reasons for its results. So, should they decide whether or not to get married based on this AI’s prediction? Thomas Hofweber explores AI’s transparency problem.

Additional Resources for you to Explore

Making AI systems that are transparent and explainable is an ongoing challenge. Contemporary machine learning models are built in a way that does not easily lead to explanations. Whether such “black box” approaches can be avoided in important applications is unclear and subject to ongoing research. There is a particular push towards having a right to an explanation for decisions made by governments that affect individuals. Some legislation in this area has been passed in various countries. 

How explainability affects interpersonal relationships that are impacted by AI-based decisions is not yet widely discussed. The connection between acting for reasons and morality was developed in great depth by the 18th-century philosopher Immanuel Kant, whose view on this is spelled out in accessible contemporary terms here. A more advanced survey of the computer science side of explainable AI with many further links can be found here

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TED-Ed Animations feature the words and ideas of educators brought to life by professional animators. Are you an educator or animator interested in creating a TED-Ed Animation? Nominate yourself here »

Meet The Creators

  • Educator Thomas Hofweber
  • Director Hannah Lau-Walker
  • Narrator Addison Anderson
  • Composer Phil Brookes
  • Sound Designer Phil Brookes
  • Director of Production Gerta Xhelo
  • Produced by Abdallah Ewis
  • Editorial Director Alex Rosenthal
  • Editorial Producer Dan Kwartler
  • Fact-Checker Charles Wallace

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