Game theory challenge: Can you predict human behavior? - Lucas Husted
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TEDEd Animation
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Given a range of integers from 0 to 100, what would the whole number closest to 2/3 of the average of all numbers guessed be? For example, if the average of all guesses is 60, the correct guess will be 40. The game is played under conditions known to game theorists as “common knowledge:” every player has the same information— they also know that everyone else does too. Lucas Husted explains.
Can you think of another way to explain what people are doing in the 2/3 the average game? Does this make you less willing to ascribe all you are seeing to k-level thinking?
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Meet The Creators
- Educator Lucas Husted
- Director Anton Trofimov
- Narrator Addison Anderson
- Sound Designer Weston Fonger
- Director of Production Gerta Xhelo
- Editorial Producer Alex Rosenthal
- Associate Producer Bethany Cutmore-Scott
- Script Editor Alex Gendler
- Fact-Checker Eden Girma
